What's My Sterling Home Worth?
Sterling homes sold for a median of about $567,000 in the three months ending September 2026.
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Quick Answer: What Is a Sterling Home Worth in 2026?
Last updated October 23, 2026 by Nikki Lagouros, realtor with Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices PenFed Realty
A typical Sterling home is worth about $567,000 today, and the number climbs as you move from 1960s Sterling Park toward Cascades and the Potomac. Redfin's September 2026 data shows a $566,730 median over three months, down 1.4% from a year earlier, a median of 40 days on market and a 99.7% sale-to-list ratio, with 36% of homes selling above list. Single-family homes ran about $630,000 and townhomes about $550,000. ZIP 20165, home to Cascades, Lowes Island and CountrySide, had a $735,000 median, up almost 10%.
Source: Redfin Sterling, VA housing market data for September 2026, accessed October 23, 2026. Medians blend condos, townhomes and single-family homes.
How Your Sterling Home Value Estimate Works
Three steps, from a free instant number to a price you can list at.
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Enter your address above and pick it from the list. Add your name, email and phone, and your report shows an estimated value and current Sterling market trends.
Free comparative market analysis
Ask Nikki for an exact number. She pulls recent Sterling sales of your home type and adjusts for your condition, updates and lot.
Nikki’s pricing method
She walks the home to price what a computer cannot see, then gives you a list price, a range and the prep that pays for itself.
What Drives Home Values in Sterling
Which planned community
Sterling Park, approved in 1962, Sugarland Run from the early 1970s, CountrySide (2,539 homes completed in 1991) and Cascades (about 6,500 homes along the Potomac) each have their own price range, age of homes and amenities. Buyers compare within each. See Sterling neighborhoods compared.
HOA amenities
Cascades runs five pools, five community centers and 25 tennis courts; CountrySide has three pools and the 370-acre Horsepen Run natural area; Sugarland Run has a 50-meter pool. Dues and what they cover vary, and buyers weigh both.
Airport noise and flight paths
Dulles Airport is next door, and Loudoun County's airport noise overlay applies to some parcels. Buyers check flight paths for each address. See Dulles airport noise and the Silver Line.
Silver Line and Route 28
Loudoun Gateway and Dulles Airport stations sit just south of most neighborhoods, and Route 28, Route 7 and the Loudoun County Parkway carry most traffic. Quick access to a station or Route 28 helps.
Era and updates
Sterling Park ramblers and split-levels from the 1960s are priced on their updates. Renovated kitchens and baths, newer windows and HVAC, and a finished lower level separate homes on the same street.
Newer mixed-use options
Kincora, at Route 7 and Route 28, adds newer homes nearby that resale buyers may compare against. See Living in Kincora.
Sterling Housing Market Snapshot (September 2026)
Sterling compared with the county
| Measure | Sterling | Loudoun County |
|---|---|---|
| Median sale price (three months ending Sept. 2026) | $567,000, down 1.4% year over year | $755,000, up 0.7% year over year |
| Median sale price per square foot | $297 (−3.3%) | $291 |
| Median days on market | 40 | 48 |
| Sale-to-list price ratio | 99.7% | 99.2% |
| Homes sold above list price | 36% | 22% |
| Homes sold (Redfin, September 2026 report) | 81 | 347 |
Sterling home values by property type
| Home type | Median sale price | Change vs. a year ago | Homes sold | Median days on market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single-family homes | $630,000 | +1.6% | 34 | 27 |
| Townhomes | $550,000 | +3.8% | 35 | 33 |
| Condos | $399,000 | +18.7% | 13 | 69 |
12-month trend in the Sterling median sale price
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See the monthly numbers
| Month (three-month median) | Median sale price |
|---|---|
| Sep 2025 | $575,000 |
| Oct 2025 | $588,000 |
| Nov 2025 | $585,000 |
| Dec 2025 | $576,000 |
| Jan 2026 | $570,000 |
| Feb 2026 | $550,000 |
| Mar 2026 | $590,000 |
| Apr 2026 | $606,000 |
| May 2026 | $608,000 |
| Jun 2026 | $604,000 |
| Jul 2026 | $600,000 |
| Aug 2026 | $589,000 |
| Sep 2026 | $567,000 |
What the numbers say: Sterling prices held steady through 2026, in a narrow band between about $550,000 and $608,000. Single-family homes sold in a median of 27 days and townhomes in 33, while the few condos took longer. More than a third of homes sold above list, more than in Loudoun County overall.
Sources: Redfin Sterling, VA and Loudoun County housing market data (September 2026, accessed October 23, 2026); Redfin calculations from MLS and public records. Figures update monthly. For a Bright MLS breakdown of your street and home type, ask Nikki.
Sterling Home Values by Area
Sterling's three ZIP codes split roughly by area. 20165, along the Potomac, has the highest values.
| Area | Median, all homes | Single-family | Townhome | Condo | Median $/sq ft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20164 Sterling Park and Sugarland Run | $592,000 | $650,000 | $479,000 | $387,000 | $297 |
| 20165 Cascades, Lowes Island, Potomac Falls and CountrySide | $735,000 | $945,000 | $625,000 | $380,000 | $283 |
| 20166 The Route 28 and Dulles corridor, including Kincora | $575,000 | few sales | $577,000 | few sales | $294 |
Source: Redfin ZIP code housing market data, three-month medians ending September 2026, accessed October 23, 2026. "Few sales" means fewer than five sales of that type in the period. ZIP codes cross town and county lines, so a ZIP median is a starting point, not a price for your street.
Zestimate, Redfin Estimate or a CMA: Which Sterling Number Should You Trust?
Zillow says the Zestimate's nationwide median error is 1.77% for homes on the market and 7.20% for homes that are not listed. Redfin reports 1.91% and 7.49%. "Median" means half of estimates miss by more than that. On a $567,000 Sterling home, a 7.2% miss is about $40,824 in either direction.
Why online estimates miss in Sterling: a 1963 Sterling Park rambler and a 1990s Cascades colonial can share a mailing name, and algorithms mix their sales. They also cannot see updates, a backyard that borders Potomac parkland, or an airport noise tier, all of which move Sterling prices.
A comparative market analysis (CMA) from a realtor who has walked the house fills those gaps. An appraisal is a licensed appraiser's opinion, usually ordered by the buyer's lender.
Sources: Zillow, "What is a Zestimate?" and Redfin, "About the Redfin Estimate," both checked October 23, 2026.
Sterling After October 2026: More Sales, a Lower Median
Redfin's numbers for the three months ending October 2026 show Sterling's median sale price at $554,614, down 5.6% from a year earlier and about $12,000 below the September figure in the snapshot above. Sales went the other way: 86 Sterling homes sold in October, up from 77 a year before. The median home took 44 days to sell, against 40, and 31.0% sold above list price, up 5.0 points. The sale-to-list ratio held at 99.4%.
So more homes are selling, but buyers are paying a little less at the middle of the market. A median also moves with the mix of home types that happen to sell in a given month, so check sales of your own home type before reading the median as your number.
Sterling's three ZIP codes
| ZIP | Median sale price | Median days on market | Homes sold in October | Sold above list |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20164 | $577,204 (-4.2%) | 40, down from 41 | 104, down from 107 | 30.7% (+4.5 pts) |
| 20165 | $719,631 (+8.2%) | 45, up from 40 | 68, down from 85 | 31.8% (-2.3 pts) |
| 20166 | $574,705 (-2.4%) | 35, down from 51 | 38, down from 44 | 32.4% (+12.0 pts) |
The ZIP codes reach past the Sterling census area, into places such as Potomac Falls and Dulles, which is why their sale counts add up to more than Sterling's 86.
Loudoun's tax rate and the December bill
Sterling is unincorporated Loudoun County, so there is no town tax. The county rate for tax year 2026 is $0.805 per $100 of assessed value, unchanged from 2025. On a home at the $554,614 median, that is about $4,465 a year. Loudoun's tax calendar lists December 5 for the second half, and the year's tax is prorated between buyer and seller at settlement.
Two charges on a Sterling deed
At recording, the seller pays Virginia's grantor tax of 50 cents per $500 of price and the regional congestion relief fee of 10 cents per $100, which applies in Loudoun County. On the $554,614 median, the two come to about $1,110.
Sources: Redfin Sterling, Redfin 20164, Redfin 20165 and Redfin 20166, three months ending October 2026, accessed November 13, 2026; Loudoun County, FY 2027 budget adopted; Loudoun County Tax Calendar; Va. Code 58.1-802 and 58.1-802.4.
Nikki's Sterling Sales Since 2017
Nikki has closed 83 transaction sides with a Sterling address since 2017: 50 as the listing agent and 33 for buyers. By ZIP code, 48 were in 20164, 29 in 20165 and 6 in 20166. All were open-market sales recorded in Bright MLS.
The count is front-loaded. In 2017 she closed 31 Sterling sides, and at least 24 of them were her listings on a single 20164 street, all closing in July and August of that year. Since 2020 she has closed 47 Sterling sides, with her busiest years in 2020 (14) and 2021 (10).
Her recent Sterling sales
Since the start of 2024, Nikki has closed 12 Sterling sides with a median price of $617,500. 2025 was her busiest recent year, with 8. It included her highest-priced Sterling sale since 2016, a 20165 listing that sold for $1,205,000 in June 2025, and a $1,061,111 purchase in 20165 where she represented the buyer in May 2025. In 2026 she has closed two: a 20165 listing at $620,000 on August 10 and a $699,999 purchase in 20164 on August 21.
Those two 2026 prices sit on either side of the 20164 and 20165 medians in the table above, which is a good reminder that a ZIP median is a starting point. Call or text Nikki at 703-596-5065 for a price based on the sales closest to your home.
Source: Nikki Lagouros, Bright MLS closed sales, January 2016 to November 2, 2026.
What Northern Virginia Sellers Say About Nikki
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Not show-ready? Get a quick cash offer on your Sterling home
Many Sterling Park homes date from the 1960s, and some townhomes from the 1970s and 1980s need updates before they can compete. If you would rather sell as-is, Nikki's Cash Offer Program buys without repairs or showings. Nikki buys with her own cash.
As-is · No repairs · No inspections · No cleanout · No showings · No commission · Nikki pays closing costs · One walkthrough, written offer within 24 hours · Close in as little as 7 days, or on the date you choose · Texts back within 15 minutes
Nikki Lagouros is a licensed Virginia realtor with Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices PenFed Realty buying for her own account, not representing the seller.
Get a Free Sterling Pricing Analysis From Nikki
Nikki prices Sterling homes from Bright MLS sales in your community and home type, then walks the home to value its updates.
How Nikki prices a Sterling home
- Recent comparable sales of your home type nearby, adjusted for size, condition and updates.
- Current competition: the listings a buyer will tour alongside yours.
- Local factors: Your community and its HOA, the age and updates of the home, airport noise tier, and access to Route 28 and the Silver Line.
There is no cost and no obligation. Call or text and Nikki will set a time to see the home.
*Based on RealTrends rankings and her team’s transaction records. See rankings and data.
Planning to list instead? See how Nikki markets and sells Northern Virginia homes.
Keep Exploring: Sterling and Nearby Home Values
Nearby home value pages
Sterling Home Value FAQ
What is the median home price in Sterling, VA right now?
Redfin reports a median sale price of $566,730 for Sterling over the three months ending September 2026, down 1.4% from a year earlier. Single-family homes ran about $630,000 and townhomes about $550,000.
What are home values in Cascades and Potomac Falls?
Both are in ZIP 20165, where Redfin reported a $735,000 median for the three months ending September 2026, up 9.7%, with single-family homes around $945,000 and townhomes around $625,000.
Does Dulles Airport noise affect Sterling home values?
It can for specific homes. Buyers check flight paths and Loudoun County’s airport noise overlay for each address, and a home in a quieter location may draw more interest.
How fast are Sterling homes selling?
Sterling homes sold in a median of 40 days in Redfin’s September 2026 data, at 99.7% of list price, and 36% sold above list. Single-family homes sold in about 27 days.
How accurate is the Zestimate for a Sterling home?
Zillow reports a nationwide median error of 7.20% for off-market homes, about $41,000 on a $567,000 Sterling home. It mixes communities of very different ages.
How do I get an exact value for my Sterling home?
Ask Nikki Lagouros for a free pricing analysis based on Bright MLS sales in your community. Call 703-596-5065 or text 910-382-0029.
Can I sell my Sterling house as-is for cash?
Yes. Nikki’s Cash Offer Program buys as-is with her own cash: no repairs, no inspections, no cleanout, no showings and no commission, and she pays closing costs. After one walkthrough you get a written offer within 24 hours, and you can close in as little as 7 days, or on the date you choose. Nikki Lagouros is a licensed Virginia realtor with Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices PenFed Realty buying for her own account, not representing the seller.
Ready to see what your Sterling home is worth?
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Sources
Redfin: Sterling housing market; Redfin: ZIPs 20164, 20165 and 20166; Redfin: Loudoun County housing market; Cascades Community Association; Zillow: What is a Zestimate?; Redfin: About the Redfin Estimate; Nikki Lagouros Rankings and Data (Bright MLS, RealTrends). Market figures change monthly; Nikki refreshes this page with the monthly market snapshot. Last updated October 23, 2026.