What's My Dumfries Home Worth?
Homes in the Town of Dumfries sold for a median of about $400,000, while the wider 22026 ZIP, including Potomac Shores, ran about $600,000.
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Quick Answer: What Is a Dumfries Home Worth in 2026?
Last updated October 23, 2026 by Nikki Lagouros, realtor with Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices PenFed Realty
What your Dumfries home is worth depends first on which Dumfries you mean: the small historic town, Potomac Shores or Montclair. Redfin's September 2026 data for the Town of Dumfries shows a $399,810 median over three months, down 1.7% from a year earlier, on only 15 sales. The wider 22026 ZIP code, which includes the town, Potomac Shores and the Route 234 corridor, had a $600,000 median, and Montclair's 22025 ZIP code had about $542,000. Town homes sold in about 28 days. With so few sales, a pricing analysis from recent comparables matters more than any single median.
Source: Redfin Dumfries, VA (Town) housing market data for September 2026, accessed October 23, 2026. Medians blend condos, townhomes and single-family homes.
How Your Dumfries Home Value Estimate Works
Three steps, from a free instant number to a price you can list at.
Instant estimate
Enter your address above and pick it from the list. Add your name, email and phone, and your report shows an estimated value and current Dumfries market trends.
Free comparative market analysis
Ask Nikki for an exact number. She pulls recent Dumfries sales of your home type and adjusts for your condition, updates and lot.
Nikki’s pricing method
She walks the home to price what a computer cannot see, then gives you a list price, a range and the prep that pays for itself.
What Drives Home Values in Dumfries
Town of Dumfries or a Dumfries address
Inside the town, owners pay the county's $0.865 per $100 plus a town rate ($0.1850 per $100 in the town's FY2026-2027 budget), and get the Dumfries Police Department and town-contracted trash pickup. Montclair and Potomac Shores have Dumfries addresses but pay county taxes only. See Town of Dumfries vs. a Dumfries address.
Potomac Shores
The newer master-planned community on the Potomac has townhomes, condos and single-family homes, an 18-hole Jack Nicklaus Signature golf course and a planned VRE station that is not open. Buyers compare resales with new homes still being built.
Montclair and its lake
Montclair's roughly 3,800 homes surround 108-acre Lake Montclair. MPOA dues for 2026-2027 are $900 a year, plus trash. Lakefront and lake-view homes draw a clear premium over homes farther from the water.
Flood zones
Homes near Quantico Creek, Powells Creek or the Potomac shoreline should be checked on the FEMA flood map, and the town lists Quantico Creek flood mitigation in its capital plan. Flood insurance costs affect what buyers will pay.
Route 1, I-95 and Quantico
Homes along Route 1 face the planned widening, and I-95 and the rail line bring noise near some streets. Marine Corps Base Quantico next door brings steady demand from military buyers. See living near Quantico.
Dumfries Housing Market Snapshot (September 2026)
Dumfries compared with the county
| Measure | Dumfries | Prince William County |
|---|---|---|
| Median sale price (three months ending Sept. 2026) | $400,000, down 1.7% year over year | $579,000, down 4% year over year |
| Median sale price per square foot | $246 (−8.9%) | $251 |
| Median days on market | 28 | 44 |
| Sale-to-list price ratio | 100.1% | 99.6% |
| Homes sold above list price | 40% | 26% |
| Homes sold (Redfin, September 2026 report) | 15 | 403 |
Dumfries home values by property type
| Home type | Median sale price | Change vs. a year ago | Homes sold | Median days on market |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single-family homes | $524,000* | +8.3% | 6 | 38 |
| Townhomes | $365,000 | −3.4% | 9 | 22 |
*Fewer than eight sales of this type in the period, so treat the median as a rough guide.
12-month trend in the Dumfries median sale price
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See the monthly numbers
| Month (three-month median) | Median sale price |
|---|---|
| Sep 2025 | $407,000 |
| Oct 2025 | $358,000 |
| Nov 2025 | $371,000 |
| Dec 2025 | $356,000 |
| Jan 2026 | $438,000 |
| Feb 2026 | $376,000 |
| Mar 2026 | $400,000 |
| Apr 2026 | $378,000 |
| May 2026 | $400,000 |
| Jun 2026 | $390,000 |
| Jul 2026 | $390,000 |
| Aug 2026 | $380,000 |
| Sep 2026 | $400,000 |
What the numbers say: the town's figures cover a handful of sales, so the monthly median swings, from about $356,000 in December 2025 to $438,000 in January 2026. The 22026 ZIP code is steadier and runs higher because it includes newer Potomac Shores homes. Prince William County as a whole had a $579,000 median, down 4%.
Sources: Redfin Dumfries, VA (Town) and Prince William County housing market data (September 2026, accessed October 23, 2026); Redfin calculations from MLS and public records. Figures update monthly. For a Bright MLS breakdown of your street and home type, ask Nikki.
Dumfries Home Values by Area
Dumfries prices split sharply by community. The town itself is a small share of sales; Potomac Shores and the Route 234 corridor share ZIP 22026, and Montclair has its own ZIP, 22025.
| Area | Median, all homes | Single-family | Townhome | Condo | Median $/sq ft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22026 Town of Dumfries, Potomac Shores and the Route 234 corridor | $600,000 | $725,000 | $580,000 | $482,000 | $252 |
| 22025 Montclair (Dumfries mailing address, outside the town) | $542,000 | $624,000 | $438,000 | n/a | $237 |
Source: Redfin ZIP code housing market data, three-month medians ending September 2026, accessed October 23, 2026. "Few sales" means fewer than five sales of that type in the period. ZIP codes cross town and county lines, so a ZIP median is a starting point, not a price for your street.
Compare communities in Dumfries communities compared.
Zestimate, Redfin Estimate or a CMA: Which Dumfries Number Should You Trust?
Zillow says the Zestimate's nationwide median error is 1.77% for homes on the market and 7.20% for homes that are not listed. Redfin reports 1.91% and 7.49%. "Median" means half of estimates miss by more than that. On a $600,000 Dumfries home, a 7.2% miss is about $43,200 in either direction.
Why online estimates miss in Dumfries: with only about 15 town sales in three months, the models reach for comparables from Potomac Shores, Montclair or Woodbridge that may not match. They also cannot see a lake view, a flood zone, or whether a home is inside the town and paying town taxes.
A comparative market analysis (CMA) from a realtor who has walked the house fills those gaps. An appraisal is a licensed appraiser's opinion, usually ordered by the buyer's lender.
Sources: Zillow, "What is a Zestimate?" and Redfin, "About the Redfin Estimate," both checked October 23, 2026.
What Northern Virginia Sellers Say About Nikki
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Not show-ready? Get a quick cash offer on your Dumfries home
Older homes along Route 1 and in the historic town can come with flood-zone questions, deferred maintenance or road-construction timing. If you would rather not deal with it, Nikki's Cash Offer Program buys as-is. Nikki buys with her own cash.
As-is · No repairs · No inspections · No cleanout · No showings · No commission · Nikki pays closing costs · One walkthrough, written offer within 24 hours · Close in as little as 7 days, or on the date you choose · Texts back within 15 minutes
Nikki Lagouros is a licensed Virginia realtor with Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices PenFed Realty buying for her own account, not representing the seller.
Get a Free Dumfries Pricing Analysis From Nikki
Nikki prices Dumfries homes from Bright MLS sales in your community, inside or outside the town, and checks flood zones and planned road work before recommending a price.
How Nikki prices a Dumfries home
- Recent comparable sales of your home type nearby, adjusted for size, condition and updates.
- Current competition: the listings a buyer will tour alongside yours.
- Local factors: Town or county status, community (town, Potomac Shores, Montclair), lake or water views, flood zones, and Route 1 and I-95 proximity.
There is no cost and no obligation. Call or text and Nikki will set a time to see the home.
*Based on RealTrends rankings and her team’s transaction records. See rankings and data.
Planning to list instead? See how Nikki markets and sells Northern Virginia homes.
Keep Exploring: Dumfries and Nearby Home Values
Nearby home value pages
Dumfries Home Value FAQ
What is the median home price in Dumfries, VA right now?
Redfin reports a median sale price of $399,810 for the Town of Dumfries over the three months ending September 2026, on few sales. The wider 22026 ZIP code, including Potomac Shores, had a $600,000 median, and Montclair’s 22025 ZIP code about $542,000.
Why are Dumfries home prices so different by area?
Because the town, Potomac Shores and Montclair have very different housing. The town has older homes and few sales, Potomac Shores has newer homes on the Potomac, and Montclair is built around a private lake.
Does a Town of Dumfries address change my taxes?
Yes. Town homes pay the Prince William County rate of $0.865 per $100 plus a town rate of $0.1850 per $100 in the town’s FY2026-2027 budget. Montclair and Potomac Shores are outside the town and pay county taxes only.
Is the Potomac Shores VRE station open?
No. The station is planned but not open, so it should not be priced into a home’s value until trains are scheduled to stop there.
How accurate is the Zestimate for a Dumfries home?
Zillow reports a nationwide median error of 7.20% for off-market homes, about $43,000 on a $600,000 home in ZIP 22026. With few sales nearby, the error can be larger.
How do I get an exact value for my Dumfries home?
Ask Nikki Lagouros for a free pricing analysis based on Bright MLS sales in your community. Call 703-596-5065 or text 910-382-0029.
Can I sell my Dumfries house as-is for cash?
Yes. Nikki’s Cash Offer Program buys as-is with her own cash: no repairs, no inspections, no cleanout, no showings and no commission, and she pays closing costs. After one walkthrough you get a written offer within 24 hours, and you can close in as little as 7 days, or on the date you choose. Nikki Lagouros is a licensed Virginia realtor with Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices PenFed Realty buying for her own account, not representing the seller.
Ready to see what your Dumfries home is worth?
Enter your address for a free, instant estimate. No obligation. For an exact number, Nikki will walk you through a free pricing analysis.
Sources
Redfin: Dumfries housing market; Redfin: ZIP 22026; Redfin: ZIP 22025; Redfin: Prince William County housing market; Town of Dumfries: FY2026-2027 budget; Montclair Property Owners Association; Zillow: What is a Zestimate?; Redfin: About the Redfin Estimate; Nikki Lagouros Rankings and Data (Bright MLS, RealTrends). Market figures change monthly; Nikki refreshes this page with the monthly market snapshot. Last updated October 23, 2026.